Ireland in 2040: Urbanization, demographics and housing
Item Type:Journal Article
Citation:Lyons, Ronan C.. 'Ireland in 2040: Urbanization, demographics and housing'. - Journal of the Statistical and Social Inquiry Society of Ireland, Vol.47, 2017-,18, pp122-128
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Ireland during the 20th century was a demographic outlier, rather than an economic one. With a swingtowards population growth, rather than away from it, during the 21st century, this outlier status will persist. However, in relation to population growth and demographics, Ireland is more likely to be delayed rather than different. Two key aspects in which Ireland is likely to converge with its peers over coming decades are urbanization and average household size. The relative lack of urbanization is a symptom of housing market mismatch, rather than – as previously – a reflection of different employment structures. There is, further, little evidence that Dublin’s population share is too large, given the country’s size. In addition, the recent modest increase in household size is a function of housing supply, not demand. Housing output has not adjusted to reflect the growth of 1-2 person households, meaning that Ireland is missing roughly half a million apartments.
Description:read before the Society, 26 April 2018; Symposium: ‘Where’ will the Economy be in 2040? Delivering on the National Development Framework
Author: Lyons, Ronan C.
Publisher:Statistical and Social Inquiry Society of Ireland
Type of material:Journal Article
Availability:Full text available