Economics (Scholarly Publications)
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Many Unions, One Estimate? Disaggregating the Currency Union Effect on Trade
(2023)A large literature estimates the impact of currency unions on trade. Often ignored in these estimates are the dramatic differences in the characteristics of countries adopting common currencies, hidden by aggregation ... -
Trade diversion and labor market adjustment: Vietnam and the U.S.-China trade war
(2023)This paper investigates the effects of the U.S.-China trade war on trade diversion and the labor market in a third country, Vietnam. We exploit variation in Vietnamese exports to the U.S. across industries and districts ... -
Growing older and growing apart? Population age structure and trade
(2023)Purpose This paper explores the empirical relationship between population age structure and bilateral trade. Design/methodology/approach The author includes age structure in both log and Poisson pseudo-maximum ... -
Population age structure and secular stagnation: Evidence from long run data
(2023)A large literature has reopened the secular stagnation hypothesis, first proposed near the end of the great depression as a warning for anemic growth resulting from long run trends in population aging. In this paper, I ... -
Okay Boomer... Excess Money Growth, Inflation, and Population Aging
(2022)What determines the strength of the relationship between money growth and inflation? A large literature suggests that it has weakened since the 1980s, without a definitive explanation of the cause. I explore how population ...