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A shape-based approach to conflict forecasting
(2021)
Do conflict processes exhibit repeating patterns over time? And if so, can we exploit the recurring shapes and structures of the time series to forecast the evolution of conflict? Theory has long focused on the sequence ...
Voter Expectations of Government Formation: The Importance of the Information Context in Coalition Systems:
(2021)
Can voters in multi-party systems predict which coalition will form the government with any degree of accuracy? To date, studies which explore voter expectations of coalition formation have emphasized individual-level ...
How Political Careers affect Prime-Ministerial Performance: Evidence from Central and Eastern Europe
(2021)
Even though Prime Ministers (PMs) are the central actors in parliamentary democracies, little comparative research explores what makes them perform successfully in office. This article investigates how the political careers ...
Perceptions of the appropriate response to norm violation in 57 societies
(2021)
Norm enforcement may be important for resolving conflicts and promoting cooperation. However, little is known about how preferred responses to norm violations vary across cultures and across domains. In a preregistered ...
The evolving nature of the Irish policy space
(Palgrave Macmillan, 2021)
This chapter uses the Irish element of the Comparative Candidate Survey (CCS) of Dáil candidates in the 2020 election to explore policy similarities and differences between Irish parties. Using previous CCS data, it also ...
The (un)changing Irish voter
(Oxford University Press, 2021)
Are Irish voters biased against female candidates? Evidence from the 2020 general election
(2021)
Ireland is the first country in the world to apply a legislative gender quota under an STV electoral system. Since 2016, the quota has required parties to ensure that at least thirty percent of their candidates running in ...