RSS 1.0Political Science (Scholarly Publications)
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The effect of terrorist attacks on attitudes and its duration
(2022)Is terrorism effective as a tool of political influence? In particular, do terrorists succeed in affecting their targets’ attitudes, and how long does the effect last? Existing research unfortunately is either limited to ... -
A shape-based approach to conflict forecasting
(2021)Do conflict processes exhibit repeating patterns over time? And if so, can we exploit the recurring shapes and structures of the time series to forecast the evolution of conflict? Theory has long focused on the sequence ... -
Public and Private Information in International Crises: Diplomatic Correspondence and Conflict Anticipation
(2022)Scholars of international conflicts have long emphasized the role of private information in the onset of interstate wars. Yet, the literature lacks direct and systematic evidence of its effect. This is largely due to ... -
How Political Careers affect Prime-Ministerial Performance: Evidence from Central and Eastern Europe
(2021)Even though Prime Ministers (PMs) are the central actors in parliamentary democracies, little comparative research explores what makes them perform successfully in office. This article investigates how the political careers ... -
Perceptions of the appropriate response to norm violation in 57 societies
(2021)Norm enforcement may be important for resolving conflicts and promoting cooperation. However, little is known about how preferred responses to norm violations vary across cultures and across domains. In a preregistered ...
