http://hdl.handle.net/2262/41129 2013-05-24T10:05:10Z 2013-05-24T10:05:10Z Hardiman, Niamh http://hdl.handle.net/2262/41161 2010-11-16T03:02:41Z 2010-01-01T00:00:00Z

Title: Institutional Design and Irish Political Reform Author: Hardiman, Niamh Abstract: The financial and economic crisis that erupted in 2008 exposed significant weaknesses in Irish decision-making and policy implementing processes. In contrast with other European countries in the grip of crisis, the political system was not fundamentally challenged and the incumbent government held onto power. But confidence in government’s capacity to respond adequately fell to historically low levels. This paper considers institutional shortcomings in three arenas through which policies to deal with the crisis must be managed: the parliamentary system and executive leadership, the structures of public administration, and the institutions through which fiscal policy is made. Description: Part of Symposium: Resolving Ireland's Fiscal Crisis (read before the Society, 26th November 2009)

2010-01-01T00:00:00Z SSISI http://hdl.handle.net/2262/41141 2010-11-12T03:02:53Z 2010-01-01T00:00:00Z

Title: Proceedings of the Statistical and Social Inquiry of Ireland One Hundred and Sixty-Third Session: 2009/2010 Author: SSISI Description: Proceedings of the Statistical and Social Inquiry of Ireland One Hundred and Sixty-Third Session: 2009/2010

2010-01-01T00:00:00Z Quill, Patrick Teahon, Paddy http://hdl.handle.net/2262/41140 2010-11-12T03:02:55Z 2010-01-01T00:00:00Z

Title: Structural Economic Change in Ireland 1957-2006: Statistics, Context and Analysis Author: Quill, Patrick; Teahon, Paddy Abstract: The fifty years since the publication of Economic Development has been a time of change and growth for Ireland. Analysis of the development of the structural composition of the economy in this period requires a consistent and comprehensive dataset from the late 1950s onwards. The national income and expenditure tables have changed over time and a consistent set of historical tables is only available from 1970 onwards. Gross value added by sector in the official historical series is given for only a small number of sectors. In this paper the tables of gross value added by sector in current and in constant prices, are extended backwards to 1957 and expanded to include fifteen industry groupings. A new comprehensive and consistent dataset spanning fifty years of the Irish economy is thus constructed. Details of the methods and sources used to develop these series are presented. A context for analysis is set out based on the framework or model developed by Professor Carlota Perez in a series of publications since 1983 and most notably in her 2002 book Technological Revolutions and Financial Capital. Structural changes of the economy over the period are analysed. The analysis shows how different sectors have contributed to the economy over time. It also reveals, in the Irish case, that structural change can be independent of economic growth. The Irish economy is set in the context of the Perez model of technological revolutions and Ireland.s place in current and past technological revolutions is evaluated. Description: (read before the Society, 21 January 2010)

2010-01-01T00:00:00Z de Buitleir, Donal http://hdl.handle.net/2262/41139 2010-11-12T03:02:52Z 2010-01-01T00:00:00Z

Title: An Exploration of the Nordic Model Author: de Buitleir, Donal Abstract: In this paper I examine the social and economic system which is generally known as the Nordic Model and compare this with the Irish case. The analysis is limited to Denmark, Finland and Sweden as Norway and Iceland may be regarded as special cases due to their non-membership of the EU and their heavy dependence on oil and fishing respectively. One of the important advantages claimed for the Nordic model is that high levels of security go hand in hand with flexibility and a willingness to change. In Ireland it seems that the reverse is often the case. The most radical changes are accepted by those with the least security while the pace of reform is slow in the public sector and the most secure parts of the private sector. Given our current difficulties it is reasonable to expect that those in secure employment show the greatest willingness to embrace change and that is something we should insist on. Description: (Presidential Address read before the Society, 20 May 2010)

2010-01-01T00:00:00Z Donnelly, D.W. Gavin, A.T. http://hdl.handle.net/2262/41138 2010-11-12T03:02:52Z 2010-01-01T00:00:00Z

Title: Trends and Patterns in Cancer Mortality in Northern Ireland Author: Donnelly, D.W.; Gavin, A.T. Abstract: Cancer is a major public health issue in Northern Ireland with one in three of the population developing some form of the disease by the time they reach 75 years. However in many ways cancer is a misunderstood disease with the common perception that it is unavoidable and almost always fatal. In this paper we give an overview of the cancer burden in Northern Ireland, focusing on the many aspects of cancer mortality including the distribution by cancer type, trends over time and variations by geographic area and socio-economic factors. Cancer mortality patterns are put into context alongside incidence levels and survival, and differences with the situation in the UK and Republic of Ireland are highlighted. Description: (read before the society, 21st April 2010)

2010-01-01T00:00:00Z Byrne, Julie http://hdl.handle.net/2262/41137 2010-11-12T03:02:51Z 2010-01-01T00:00:00Z

Title: Ireland and the Global Financial Crisis: Growth, Volatility and Financial Development Author: Byrne, Julie Abstract: I examine the impact that a decline in financial development could have on Ireland.s growth performance in light of the current credit crisis. A Markov-switching model with time-varying transition probabilities is applied to Irish data to examine the link between financial development and growth. In the model, the growth rate moves discretely between two regimes; one characterised by high average growth and low volatility, the other a more volatile low growth regime. Inferences are then made by estimating how long the country can be expected to remain in a slow growth regime, at given levels of financial development. The results show that higher levels of financial development correspond to spending more time in the higher growth regime. Furthermore, it is shown that the expected duration of remaining in the slow growth regime increases as financial development falls. This analysis takes into account the fact that the dynamics of output following a shock such as a financial crisis differs significantly from the dynamics of output during more stable time periods by taking a non-linear approach. Description: (read before the Society, 25 March 2010)

2010-01-01T00:00:00Z Lane, Philip R. http://hdl.handle.net/2262/41136 2012-03-30T15:36:25Z 2010-01-01T00:00:00Z

Title: A new fiscal framework for Ireland Author: Lane, Philip R. Abstract: Pro-cyclicality in Irish fiscal policy has contributed to macroeconomic volatility over recent decades. Accordingly, this paper seeks to identify institutional mechanisms that can improve the performance of fiscal policy in macroeconomic stabilisation in Ireland. We propose a new fiscal framework for Ireland that combines the adoption of a rules-based approach to budgetary policy with the appointment of an independent fiscal policy council that will be formally involved in the fiscal process. Finally, we also advocate a set of ancillary reforms that will further improve the coherence of Irish fiscal policy with membership of European Monetary Union. Description: (read before the Society, 11 February 2010)

2010-01-01T00:00:00Z Croughan, David http://hdl.handle.net/2262/41135 2010-11-12T03:02:56Z 2010-01-01T00:00:00Z

Title: The Magnitude of the Problem Author: Croughan, David Abstract: The Macroeconomic and Fiscal Framework document accompanying the April 2009 Supplementary Budget detailed the measures that had been taken since July 2009 to address the weakening public finances. Description: Part of Symposium: Resolving Ireland's Fiscal Crisis (read before the Society, 26th November 2009)

2010-01-01T00:00:00Z Horan, Blair http://hdl.handle.net/2262/41134 2010-11-12T03:03:00Z 2010-01-01T00:00:00Z

Title: Economic and Fiscal Policy since 1997: What Caused the Crisis and How Should It Be Rectified? Author: Horan, Blair Abstract: In this paper I propose to examine the background to the current crisis which involves both a contraction in the economy due in part to the global crisis, and a collapse in the tax base due to the disappearance of property related taxes. I will argue that key tenets of neo-liberal economic policy that failed are a feature of both the international and domestic aspects of the crisis. The policy approaches to rising house prices and euro membership in the late 1990s were inadequate and contributed to the crisis. Also the success of the moderate pay combined with tax reductions strategy in the 1990s was incorrectly perceived as the "low tax model" being a driver of sustainable growth for the economy. The focus of fiscal policy for 2010 and the future will also be addressed. Description: Part of Symposium: Resolving Ireland's Fiscal Crisis (read before the Society, 26th November 2009)

2010-01-01T00:00:00Z McCarthy, Colm http://hdl.handle.net/2262/41133 2010-11-12T03:02:59Z 2010-01-01T00:00:00Z

Title: Fiscal Adjustment and Macroeconomic Re-balancing in Ireland Author: McCarthy, Colm Abstract: In the five quarters from 2008 Q1 to 2009 Q2, Ireland.s real GNP, seasonally adjusted, has fallen by 13.5%. The unemployment rate has risen by eight points, labour force participation has fallen and emigration has resumed. The economic decline in Ireland exceeds by a large margin those being experienced by most other European countries, and constitutes the worst recession in Ireland since the early years of the Second World War. The policy challenge involves much more than fiscal consolidation, or recovery from a routine cyclical downturn. Description: Part of Symposium: Resolving Ireland's Fiscal Crisis (read before the Society, 26th November 2009)

2010-01-01T00:00:00Z